A lot can happen in four months...published at 16:56 BST
Anthony Zurcher
North America correspondent
Donald Trump has set a start date - January 2027 - for his new tariffs on key Canadian industries.
The 50% duties to be imposed on steel and automotive exports would be devastating to Canadian industries. But the fact that they don’t kick in until next year leaves plenty of runway for further negotiations.
The president's announcement was cloaked in bellicose rhetoric – “ripping America off” and “we don’t need Canada, they need us” – but the bottom line is he’s buying more time before this dispute with America’s second-largest trading partner expands into a full-on trade war.
A lot can happen in four months. The US has midterm congressional elections that could bolster Trump’s position or change the political dynamic in Congress, adding new restraints on his political power.
Cooler heads could prevail, if Canadian and US negotiators return to the table to hammer out details outside of a harsh international spotlight.
Or this could just be a delay in a showdown that could further redefine relations between America and one of its closest allies.









