bbc.co.uk Navigation

Recovery planned?

  • Nick
  • 2 Sep 08, 06:42 PM

This was not the much hailed government economic recovery plan. It will not affect whether the OECD was right today to predict a recession by the year's end. It will, therefore, disappoint those who thought that that was what ministers had spent the summer working up.

Downing Street insists that the talk of an economic plan never came from them. The intention of today's announcements was, they say, simply to target support on those who need help. Behind the scenes the government is struggling to persuade energy companies to fund another package to help the poorest pay their fuel bills and to help everyone to cut theirs by using energy more efficiently.

The chancellor is well aware that the impact of any of these measures could be dwarfed by the impact of economic challenges which he famously said were "arguably the worst in 60 years". He went out of his way today to make clear that he was not saying that we were living through times that were worse than the recessions of the 70s, early 80s and 90s, let alone the Great Depression. It will not be until next month's pre-Budget report that we learn how bad his forecasts are or what changes in economic policy he'll announce in response.

What about the future of Alistair Darling himself? My instinct is that he is now, rather curiously, safer than before his infamous interview.

Who pays?

  • Nick
  • 2 Sep 08, 09:44 AM

Stamp duty scrapped for a half of all home purchases. Subsidised mortgage for poor new buyers. State help if you run into trouble with the payments. Will today's recipe be enough to get the housing market moving again?

This morning the Treasury are being very very careful not to make that claim. They know that the level of interest rates, the availability of mortgages, the rate of unemployment and economic confidence knocked so recently by the chancellor himself will be much more important factors in determining that.

Meanwhile the bills rack up. You may remember the government found £2.7bn from nowhere to give us a tax cut this month. Now this package is costing £600m upfront and another billion is being raided from future spending plans. One day, somebody will have to pay the bills. I hear rumours that it's the regional development agencies that have had their budgets raided.

PS. I have just spoken to Alistair Darling about the economy, which you can watch here.

The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites

BBC.co.uk