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No safe haven for the PM

  • Nick
  • 25 Jul 08, 06:06 PM

It's a defeat which changes everything and yet also changes nothing.

The voters of Glasgow East have proved beyond any doubt that there is now no safe haven for Gordon Brown from the winds of political change. Even in a so-called heartland area, even in an area of poverty and deprivation, even in Scotland, voters turned out to give him and his government a kicking.

This, though, is merely the latest installment of an electoral revolt which has been seen in the local elections, in London, in Crewe and Nantwich and, of course, in the opinion polls.

So far, there's been a call for a leadership contest but no significant figure has called for Gordon Brown to go. Indeed he's been backed by some formerly strident critics.

Though many in Labour - from the bottom of the party to the very top of the cabinet - have reached the conclusion they'd be better off without Mr Brown - they have also concluded that removing him could look recklessly indulgent, would certainly be bloody and would lead to demands for a swift general election the party would almost certainly lose. Thus, a challenge is likely to require another trigger.

This should give Gordon Brown time at his party conference, and in the run-up to it, to unveil more of the help he is promising for so-called "hard pressed families" and to warn, as he did today, of the risks to them of a Tory government.

The prime minister urged his party to be confident
. They may soon demand some proof that he's not a man simply shouting at the wind.

Sore political heads

  • Nick
  • 25 Jul 08, 11:18 AM

It's morning after a terrible Glaswegian night before for the Labour Party. Gordon Brown will not be the only one who woke today with a very sore political head. The voters of Glasgow East have ensured that nowhere can now be called a safe Labour seat.

Margaret Curran and John MasonOvernight, a Labour majority of over 13,500 in Labour's formerly third safest seat in Scotland, and its 25th safest seat in the UK, simply vanished.

On polling day, the Westminster village - politicians and journalists alike - had convinced itself that Labour would just squeak home.

What's more, the collective mood was that it was time for the summer break, that the fate of the prime minister could wait until we all gathered again in the run-up for the conference season. Many, therefore, will have been shocked by the news they awoke to this morning. That means that what follows next is completely unpredictable.

Gordon Brown at least has an opportunity in the speech he gives today to describe how he plans to get himself, and his party, out of the hole they find themselves in. As he does, Labour MPs will be pondering whether their prospects are better with him or without. They will have the summer to debate, to discuss, to plot their next moves.

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